shardwick said: I hate this boost week. 54 champed 4s, 53 if you don't count Devil Dino, and none of them are boosted.
JackTenrec said: I just got smacked down by RNGesus. My resupply reward was a Heroic 10-pack, and I went 10:10 2*. And just to make things more insulting, I got a couple additional heroics from champ rewards, and those were (you see where this is heading) also 2*.Any masters of stochasticism want to tell me exactly how special I am?
sambrookjm said: JackTenrec said: I just got smacked down by RNGesus. My resupply reward was a Heroic 10-pack, and I went 10:10 2*. And just to make things more insulting, I got a couple additional heroics from champ rewards, and those were (you see where this is heading) also 2*.Any masters of stochasticism want to tell me exactly how special I am? I really wish they'd give us the exact odds for these tokens, but that's a really minor complaint in the grand scheme of things.Assuming it's 1-in-14 for a 4-star, and 1-in-4 for a 3-star, your odds of getting a single two star are 1-(1/14+1/4), which is 0.6785714285, with the 714285 repeating out to infinity. Raising that number to the 10th power gives you roughly 0.021, so the probability you go 10:10 from a Heroic Pack is is 2.1%The single Heroic tokens have different odds. The odds of a 4-star are about 1-in-16, while the odds of a 3-star are about 1-in-5. The odds of getting two 2-stars from two single heroic tokens are [1-(1/16+1/4)]^2, or about 46.3%Multiply these two numbers together, since (we're assuming) that the 10:10 Heroic pack had no influence on your two single Heroic tokens gives about a 1% chance of this happening. Pretty bad, but as TPF said, not nearly as bad as some of the other runs in the game. (My Nick Fury started out 0/9/0, which is 1-in-19,683. And this was pre-saved covers.)
AXP_isme said: So I make it a bit more than a 1% chance using the 10-pack odds for 10 and then the single pick odds for two pulls. That’s on the assumption that 1:16 is 0.0625 exactly so it’s probably not terribly precise. Regardless of the specific odds it’s an unlikely outcome but not that unlikely and, because of various psychological characteristics of the human mind and conditioning, it will hurt far more than it objectively ought.
helix72 said: I mostly hoard but pull Classics once in a while. After going 2 weeks without a pull, I hit the slot machine and nabbed another 5* Wasp. Then I looked at my luck with pulling 5*, excluding bonus heroes and feeders:Worst 5*s in the game:Wasp: 8 covers: 3/2/3Banner: 6 covers: 1/3/2Fatpin: 4 covers: 1/1/2Best 5*s in the game:Thor: 2 covers: 2/0/0Okoye: 3 covers: 0/2/1Kitty: 3 covers: 1/1/1Thanos: 4 covers: 2/2/0RNG hates me.