[User Collected] Recruit token probability

Unknown

ihearthawthats wrote:

Iron Batman wrote:

MrMeer wrote:

You cannot pull a 4* from a standard token.

This is not true. Before I found this thread, I pulled a yellow Wolvie 4*. It's only one data point, but it demonstrates it is possible...
(Aside: Don't know what the heck to do with him now though, seeing as the chances of pulling another appear to be infinitesimal...)

I pulled a green wolverine from standard token. Just wait until you get more. Mine is 2/2/2 and only one of those is from a tournament.

How many did you open? 5 4-stars sounds like a ridiculous amount.

My standard tokens have been ****, but I just got a red Mags from a Diabolical, which I know should make someone jealous. Although, generally I get Hood and Loki from those.

The others were all from heroics. Just 1 from standard.

Unknown

Sorry, can't open google docs at work, but during my lunch break, worked through 51 tokens I had saved up. Results?

1 ***
10 **
The rest were *

Of course, all ** were ones I didn't need, but I think the RNG knows that. Details below.

IM 30 Yellow
IM 30 Blue
M BW Blue
C Hawkeye Purple
** O BW Blue
Venom Black
Venom Purple
** Cap Yellow
Dark BW Black
C Hawkeye Red
C Hawkeye Purple
IM 30 Yellow
Venom Purple
Juggernaut Red
Venom Black
IM 30 Yellow
M Storm Black
IM 30 Red
M Storm Black
IM 30 Red
** Bagman Spiderman Blue
Juggernaut Green
*** IM 40 Blue
IM 30 Yellow
M BW Purple
M Storm Red
M Storm Green
IM 30 Blue
** Moonstone Purple
IM 30 Blue
** Thor Green
** Magnetic Marvel Now Purple
C Hawkeye Red
IM 30 Yellow
** O BW Blue
M Storm Black
Dark BW Black
Venom Black
** Thor Yellow
IM 30 Yellow
Juggernaut Green
Dark BW Black
IM 30 Red
Venom Black
** Moonstone Purple
IM 30 Blue
**M. Hawkeye Purple
M BW Purple
M Hawkeye Red
Dark BW Purple
C Hawkeye Purple

Unknown

i've also gotten 4* wolverine from a standard pack. I have no idea how many I've opened but in the several hundreds at least, since I've probably played for about 50 days and some days I open 5+ from events. probably like 400 total I'd say.

so the chance I think is there, its just not great

Unknown

I have 2 yellow 4* wolverine and for some reason i haven't saw any bag man in a lot of time.

Dayv

Zathrus wrote:

Iron Man 35 and Storm are significantly more likely in the 1* than any other single character.

That's easy to explain: they're the only 1* characters with three powers. You're not pulling characters, you're pulling available 1* powers. I'd bet the probability for 2-power vs. 3-power heroes at higher tiers shows a similar distribution.

Unknown

Just bought Hulk 10x power-up to get a guaranteed Punisher, I was going to add my results to the spreadsheet but no tab for that one yet, so here:

Punisher - Red
Cpt Amer - Blue
Cpt amer - Yellow
Spider-Man - Purple
Wolverine - Red
Wolverine - Red
Cpt Amer - Red
Cpt Amer - Red
Cpt Amer - Blue
Cpt Amer - Red

mischiefmaker

Added a tab and the results. Thanks for getting it started!

Unknown

Remember, the puniser was a guarantee. That's not exactly statistically accurate.

mischiefmaker

Yeah, I wasn't sure how to handle that. I'm leaning towards just removing it from the stats.

jojeda654

mischiefmaker wrote:

Added a tab and the results. Thanks for getting it started!

Don't think it matters, but the rewards screen refers to the recruit token as Powered Up, not Hulk.

Unknown

mischiefmaker wrote:

Yeah, I wasn't sure how to handle that. I'm leaning towards just removing it from the stats.

If only 1 Punisher then don't include it. But additional covers should be included.

Alternately include both and realize the stats are just going to be wrong. Because I'm not sure people will follow instructions that well, even if you put them on the tab.

Unknown

I am shocked.
Pulled a Red Ragnarok from standard token.....

Unknown

The day after I bought my Rag the 5th red skill point ... I pulled one from the diabolical token. My luck.

Unknown

f3nfire wrote:

The day after I bought my Rag the 5th red skill point ... I pulled one from the diabolical token. My luck.

Back during Heroic Venom I bought red Thor to get it to level 4. I sold two red Thors the next day after maxing it from another one I got. And I pulled a red Ragnarok just this week from a Heroic... although at least that was over a week after using saved HP for 3 upgrades on his red.

Unknown

Bought 2 punisher 10x packs

Punisher - green
Wolverine - green
Spider Man - blue
Wolvie - yellow
Wolvie - red
Spidey - purple
Punisher - red
Wolvie - green
Cap - blue
Spidey - purple


Punisher - red
Wolvie - green
Cap - red
Cap - yellow
Wolvie - yellow
Wolvie - green
Spidey - blue
Cap - blue
Wolvie - green
Spidey - yellow

First set had 5 3* covers including the automatic punisher, second had 3. All in all decent, except my spidey was capped. Would have liked more Punishers

mischiefmaker

Awesome data, thanks __fulu__! Should be interesting to see what happens when people start getting their sub-mission reward tokens -- if the probability looks anything like what you got, that'll be fantastic, especially with the 3* tournament this weekend.

Unknown

2 Wolvies and a Cap from the Hulk tokens, sad day!

mischiefmaker

Added you to the sheet.

Unknown

_fulu_ wrote:

Bought 2 punisher 10x packs

Punisher - green
Wolverine - green
Spider Man - blue
Wolvie - yellow
Wolvie - red
Spidey - purple
Punisher - red
Wolvie - green
Cap - blue
Spidey - purple


Punisher - red
Wolvie - green
Cap - red
Cap - yellow
Wolvie - yellow
Wolvie - green
Spidey - blue
Cap - blue
Wolvie - green
Spidey - yellow

First set had 5 3* covers including the automatic punisher, second had 3. All in all decent, except my spidey was capped. Would have liked more Punishers

so you paid 6k hp for 3 punisher covers...none of which were black. I hope you didn't have green and red before or you came up pretty empty on that. The first grouping would have been nice fire most though, so it was a lucky group of pulls. For you though...probably ahouldnt be spending
n this pa k given spidey is half the *** rewards lol.

Pulled my 2 tokens, blue spidey blue cap..yay. I am saving the standard from this event, so ill give the number and items when it is over.

Spoit

Yeah, that ~10% chance of a 2* seems reasonable. I just did 35 standard tokens, and the only 2*s were 2 red caps and a purple bagman