[User Collected] Recruit token probability

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Comments

  • DumDumDugn wrote:
    how the hell has "baller" opened 100 hunt heroic tokens
    Because he's a baller? No way I would buy those packs though at that volume. The odds are basically 40 Thor covers and 40 Hawkeye covers. I mean, Thor is good, but not that good.
  • DumDumDugn wrote:
    how the hell has "baller" opened 100 hunt heroic tokens
    Because he's a baller? No way I would buy those packs though at that volume. The odds are basically 40 Thor covers and 40 Hawkeye covers. I mean, Thor is good, but not that good.

    he could make an army of thors!

    5/5/3
    5/4/4
    5/3/5
    4/5/4
    4/4/5
    3/5/5
  • DumDumDugn wrote:
    how the hell has "baller" opened 100 hunt heroic tokens

    He must really like blowing HP on tokens.

    And at one point I thought he had misentered numbers (instead of typing 3, pulling another and erasing the 3 to type 4 that he'd just typed the 4, creating 34) but then realized the 3* and 4* numbers would be absurd.
  • for science
  • Check my fancy new signature!

    FRO SCEINCE!!!1111
  • Over 500 Standard tokens, that starts to give a reliable data icon_e_geek.gif
    f3nfire wrote:
    Check my fancy new signature!

    FRO SCEINCE!!!1111

    You call that fancy? icon_razz.gif See mine and learn from master icon_e_ugeek.gif
  • We already past the half of 1024. Statistical soundness, here we come!
  • I've contributed as well. Went down to 0 tokens!
  • I guess I just got super lucky the first week or so I played(getting a couple of 3* pulls), but it's nice to see I'm not super unlucky now, mostly mildly unlucky.
  • Not sure I like posting this information - it is depressing how bad my pulls have been since I started recording everything. icon_e_sad.gif
  • I envy you guys with your ability to not open tokens. My OCDishness stares at them and I can't keep more than 3 before I go to open them.

    I need to start recording results... but I did get a Purple Spidey this morning out of a standard... and enough Black Widows today to fully buff 3 of her. But anyway... i need to start writing this down...
  • i just started saving standards for this. Up to 5 so far from today's lightning rounds lol
  • rabscutle wrote:
    I envy you guys with your ability to not open tokens. My OCDishness stares at them and I can't keep more than 3 before I go to open them.

    I need to start recording results... but I did get a Purple Spidey this morning out of a standard... and enough Black Widows today to fully buff 3 of her. But anyway... i need to start writing this down...
    I used to **** them but now I open right away (I lost my tokens one time so now I'm paranoid). I use the Google Drive app, which makes data entry a little more convenient.
  • Unknown
    edited December 2013
    I reached my goal of 100 Standard Tokens, so I entered all of the data into the spreadsheet. On the surface it looks like I did better than average:

    1-Star 74.48%
    2-Star 19.39%
    3-Star 6.12%

    Slightly higher than the 2-star average of 14.19% and really outperforming the normal 3-star 3.36%.

    Then I went into the cache and saw that of the 99 it was holding, only 11 were usable. The 1-stars heros were maxed out, so the 74 cover pulls were automatically worthless. Of the 19 2-star pulls I could only use 5. Of course all of the 3-stars were great. So let's convert this to monetary funds.

    The Mother Load of 25,000 Iso-8 can be purchased from the store for $49.99. If you spent Iso to pull a standard cover it cost 500 Iso. So to pull 100 standard covers would cost 50,000 Iso or $100. Out of the 100 pulls I could use 11. So each useable cover carries the equivalent cost of 4,546 Iso or $9.09.
  • rabscutle wrote:
    I envy you guys with your ability to not open tokens. My OCDishness stares at them and I can't keep more than 3 before I go to open them.
    I need to start recording results... but I did get a Purple Spidey this morning out of a standard... and enough Black Widows today to fully buff 3 of her. But anyway... i need to start writing this down...

    You can also just leave the covers in the cache. In the cache it tells you how you got the cover. As recruited if from a token or event awards are labeled as the event name. It does not differentiate between the different tokens however. Heroic tokens and Standard tokens both say Recruited.
    I used to **** them but now I open right away.

    You made your tokens walk the streets? You are a token pimp, for shame. icon_lol.gif
  • Dayv
    Dayv Posts: 4,449 Chairperson of the Boards
    rabscutle wrote:
    I envy you guys with your ability to not open tokens. My OCDishness stares at them and I can't keep more than 3 before I go to open them.

    I'm the same way. I'm like a monkey with a feeding button.
  • DayvBang wrote:
    rabscutle wrote:
    I envy you guys with your ability to not open tokens. My OCDishness stares at them and I can't keep more than 3 before I go to open them.

    I'm the same way. I'm like a monkey with a feeding button.

    Well put!

    I'm the same...my limit has been saving up the recruits I get from one Hunt mission.
  • Added a couple of columns to the Standard Token sheet with percentages of particular characters. They're probably not statistically valid until we get a LOT more data though.

    Not sure how the sheets are going to handle the addition of characters; I was doing some work to make that easier when I realized that it wasn't going to help at all.
  • Ability colors are allocated evenly for any given character?
  • Just entered those recent tokens I remember clearly. Will be updating when I get new ones icon_e_smile.gif