***** Killmonger (Erik Stevens) *****

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Comments

  • MoosePrimeMoosePrime Posts: 330 Mover and Shaker
    I downed Killmonger with a match 5, and he locked the critical tile that was created.
  • AkromaAkroma Posts: 63 Match Maker
    Thanos said:
    Akroma said:
    hello :) sorry to bother you.

    i see you have onslaugh :D what do you think about him? as in order to get apoc i have to get ons :( and killmonger. as i was scared when you said in the onslaugh thread that you wouldnt even want to make a video about him :(

    did that changed? or is he still not good? :(

    thanks

    I have to say, he actually started to grow on me a bit. If you watch the KM-PX-Onslaught video, he can be kinda crazy when paired with PX. His green is excellent, obviously his best ability. When I started ignoring the damage component of his blue and used it only to setup auto-matches or match 4 and 5's the more useful it became. Not sure how good he is without PX on the team but with PX he can be a blast. When KM hits tokens I think I'm gonna bust the hoard, I want more Apoc and KM and Onslaught aren't terrible additions to the roster.
    tyvm for the info :) thank god i have prof x. ive been enjoying profx karnak and maybe thor or even im40 lately. it adds diversity to the pve. so i think onslaught can be good on that team. thanks again
  • HoundofShadowHoundofShadow Posts: 3,122 Chairperson of the Boards
    I can't remember whIch thread I posted it but I tracked the number of match-5 in Killmonger PvP and out of 40 matches, 22 matches have at least one match-5. The critieria I used were:

    1) either the match starts with a match-5 
    2) a match-5 occurs after a match or casacade and it is due to tiles dropping from outside of 8x8 board.

    I hardly call it confirmation bias. Now, ask yourself, do you see at least see a match-5 that is meant for you to match every 2 matches?
  • MoosePrimeMoosePrime Posts: 330 Mover and Shaker
    I can't remember whIch thread I posted it but I tracked the number of match-5 in Killmonger PvP and out of 40 matches, 22 matches have at least one match-5. The critieria I used were:

    1) either the match starts with a match-5 
    2) a match-5 occurs after a match or casacade and it is due to tiles dropping from outside of 8x8 board.

    I hardly call it confirmation bias. Now, ask yourself, do you see at least see a match-5 that is meant for you to match every 2 matches?
    40 matches is nowhere near statistically significant.
    Do you track match-5 appearances in all matches you play?
  • liminal_ladliminal_lad Posts: 178 Tile Toppler
    Are we assuming he's in Latest legends next Monday?
  • HoundofShadowHoundofShadow Posts: 3,122 Chairperson of the Boards
    1000 matches are crazy. I think I'll just leave it as that. 

    He should be in latest on the 27th. It's typically two weeks after the last day of their CP stores.

  • BadBad Posts: 348 Mover and Shaker
    A char whose his only presence increases match 5 tiles should:
    -at least be informed by devs
    -it should be a passive 
    -it would be arguably one of the best 5* passives
    -in a onslaught  PX team they would be unstoppables.
  • HoundofShadowHoundofShadow Posts: 3,122 Chairperson of the Boards
    I have played over 1000 matches but I don't get at least one match-5 for me to match every 2 matches, like what happened in Killmonger PvP. If getting at least 1 match-5 every 2 match is common, I won't be bothered to suspect this. So, I'm going to stick with my belief, and you stick with yours.  :)
  • krakenoonkrakenoon Posts: 279 Mover and Shaker
    1000 matches may seem like a lot, but it’s still a relatively small sample size for statistical analysis.
  • HoundofShadowHoundofShadow Posts: 3,122 Chairperson of the Boards
    1000 matches record will take me at least 12.5 weeks of PvPs. Getting 1000 matches record with Killmonger as my opponent will take me years. I've better things to do than this. Anyway, I'm not forcing anyone to agree with my experiences. What I do with this belief is that whenever Killmonger is one of my opponents, I'll be prepared to get a higher rate of match-5, just like how I'm prepared to eat a few Signal Boosts from Prof X.
  • helix72helix72 Posts: 469 Mover and Shaker
    So I see lots of people posting on whether a certain sample size is or is not large enough to tell us anything, but I haven't seen anyone on either side of the argument put any actual math behind it. As an oversimplified and not intended to apply to any specifically aforementioned example, I studied math in college and recall situations similar to where if you believe that the probability of an event occurring was 0.000001%, and in 40 observations you had 20+ successes, that would actually be more than enough observations to say that you are X% sure the true probability is greater than 0.000001%.

    All I'm saying is there's space here for someone to settle the argument using math and I know we've got some mathemagicians floating around the forum (come out, come out, wherever you are...)
  • BadBad Posts: 348 Mover and Shaker
    edited 19 July 2020, 21:15
    helix72 said:
    ,but I haven't seen anyone on either side of the argument put any actual math behind it.

    All I'm saying is there's space here for someone to settle the argument using math and I know we've got some mathemagicians floating around the forum (come out, come out, wherever you are...)
    So my argument is that I played all the 75 wins on the same pvp and I didnt notice inusual 5 matchings.
    I dont believe there was no other forumer who played it not reporting this inusual phenomenom if it was experienced.
    So maybe the maths apply on the side of hound for breaking incredible probability records.
  • IIAlonditeIIIIAlonditeII Posts: 143 Tile Toppler
    helix72 said:
    So I see lots of people posting on whether a certain sample size is or is not large enough to tell us anything, but I haven't seen anyone on either side of the argument put any actual math behind it. As an oversimplified and not intended to apply to any specifically aforementioned example, I studied math in college and recall situations similar to where if you believe that the probability of an event occurring was 0.000001%, and in 40 observations you had 20+ successes, that would actually be more than enough observations to say that you are X% sure the true probability is greater than 0.000001%.

    All I'm saying is there's space here for someone to settle the argument using math and I know we've got some mathemagicians floating around the forum (come out, come out, wherever you are...)
    You'd be right if an opening match-5 was thought to be an incredibly uncommon phenomenon, and seeing it with any frequency immediately disproved that. But mathematically, it's not that unlikely to begin with. Him seeing it multiple times is likely either exaggerated, confirmation bias, or a happy coincidence that will work itself out to average numbers in enough time.If it were an observable feature, he wouldn't have been the only one to notice by now.
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