BigSoftieFF said: maguirenumber6 said: sambrookjm said: BigSoftieFF said: sambrookjm said: BigSoftieFF said: TPF Alexis said: Pulled the purple cover I've been fishing for in my Unstable ISO-8 vault for my 5/1/5 Kingpin. Just one more! Kingpin was such a pain for me. I started out 0/0/5 and had to trash 3 yellows before the saved cover feature went live. First 3 covers after it went live......3 freaking yellows. I was talking to Hadronic on Discord about it and he calculated the odds of that happening in the trillions.He’s covered now but unclamped with 7 saved covers. Um...not even close to in the trillions. Even if you're talking specifically about Kingpin getting three of one exact cover. The odds of getting 11 consecutive covers for a character of one specific color are 3^11:1, which is 177,147:1.Now, if you're talking about getting 11 consecutive non-Bonus Hero yellow Kingpin covers, without getting any other covers during that streak, assuming you only open Legendary tokens? Then your odds are one in [(# of 4-stars available in tokens) * 3 (you're only getting only one color cover for that character) / (odds of getting a four star from an LT) ]^11, which is easily above the trillions. If I did the math correct (71 four stars currently in tokens, 6/7 odds of getting a four star from an LT) the odds are one-in-223,146,625,544,774,763,513,334,151.53955. That's one in 223 billion trillion.My Nick Fury started out 0/9/0, and went to 2/13/2 before I finally started getting enough non-blue covers to max level him. This was before champing was a thing, let alone saved covers. I’m no statistician and just posting what I was told. Either way the odds were long but thanks for clearing it up. No problem. I'm just a math/stats nerd, and enjoy figuring this sort of thing out. I don't enjoy when it actually happens, however! Like now, for instance, when my farmed 2/5/5 Captain Marvel has nine saved covers. Fun to figure out how unlikely it is (about a 2.6% chance) but not fun to experience it for yourself! How about Silver Surfer, my first ever five star character? I've only ever pulled black covers for him. He's 0/0/8 (had to sell three as this happened before saved covers, so build is 0/0/5) and will likely be stuck making black holes forever :-( Yikes. I hope he figures this one out, I’d like to know the odds.
maguirenumber6 said: sambrookjm said: BigSoftieFF said: sambrookjm said: BigSoftieFF said: TPF Alexis said: Pulled the purple cover I've been fishing for in my Unstable ISO-8 vault for my 5/1/5 Kingpin. Just one more! Kingpin was such a pain for me. I started out 0/0/5 and had to trash 3 yellows before the saved cover feature went live. First 3 covers after it went live......3 freaking yellows. I was talking to Hadronic on Discord about it and he calculated the odds of that happening in the trillions.He’s covered now but unclamped with 7 saved covers. Um...not even close to in the trillions. Even if you're talking specifically about Kingpin getting three of one exact cover. The odds of getting 11 consecutive covers for a character of one specific color are 3^11:1, which is 177,147:1.Now, if you're talking about getting 11 consecutive non-Bonus Hero yellow Kingpin covers, without getting any other covers during that streak, assuming you only open Legendary tokens? Then your odds are one in [(# of 4-stars available in tokens) * 3 (you're only getting only one color cover for that character) / (odds of getting a four star from an LT) ]^11, which is easily above the trillions. If I did the math correct (71 four stars currently in tokens, 6/7 odds of getting a four star from an LT) the odds are one-in-223,146,625,544,774,763,513,334,151.53955. That's one in 223 billion trillion.My Nick Fury started out 0/9/0, and went to 2/13/2 before I finally started getting enough non-blue covers to max level him. This was before champing was a thing, let alone saved covers. I’m no statistician and just posting what I was told. Either way the odds were long but thanks for clearing it up. No problem. I'm just a math/stats nerd, and enjoy figuring this sort of thing out. I don't enjoy when it actually happens, however! Like now, for instance, when my farmed 2/5/5 Captain Marvel has nine saved covers. Fun to figure out how unlikely it is (about a 2.6% chance) but not fun to experience it for yourself! How about Silver Surfer, my first ever five star character? I've only ever pulled black covers for him. He's 0/0/8 (had to sell three as this happened before saved covers, so build is 0/0/5) and will likely be stuck making black holes forever :-(
sambrookjm said: BigSoftieFF said: sambrookjm said: BigSoftieFF said: TPF Alexis said: Pulled the purple cover I've been fishing for in my Unstable ISO-8 vault for my 5/1/5 Kingpin. Just one more! Kingpin was such a pain for me. I started out 0/0/5 and had to trash 3 yellows before the saved cover feature went live. First 3 covers after it went live......3 freaking yellows. I was talking to Hadronic on Discord about it and he calculated the odds of that happening in the trillions.He’s covered now but unclamped with 7 saved covers. Um...not even close to in the trillions. Even if you're talking specifically about Kingpin getting three of one exact cover. The odds of getting 11 consecutive covers for a character of one specific color are 3^11:1, which is 177,147:1.Now, if you're talking about getting 11 consecutive non-Bonus Hero yellow Kingpin covers, without getting any other covers during that streak, assuming you only open Legendary tokens? Then your odds are one in [(# of 4-stars available in tokens) * 3 (you're only getting only one color cover for that character) / (odds of getting a four star from an LT) ]^11, which is easily above the trillions. If I did the math correct (71 four stars currently in tokens, 6/7 odds of getting a four star from an LT) the odds are one-in-223,146,625,544,774,763,513,334,151.53955. That's one in 223 billion trillion.My Nick Fury started out 0/9/0, and went to 2/13/2 before I finally started getting enough non-blue covers to max level him. This was before champing was a thing, let alone saved covers. I’m no statistician and just posting what I was told. Either way the odds were long but thanks for clearing it up. No problem. I'm just a math/stats nerd, and enjoy figuring this sort of thing out. I don't enjoy when it actually happens, however! Like now, for instance, when my farmed 2/5/5 Captain Marvel has nine saved covers. Fun to figure out how unlikely it is (about a 2.6% chance) but not fun to experience it for yourself!
BigSoftieFF said: sambrookjm said: BigSoftieFF said: TPF Alexis said: Pulled the purple cover I've been fishing for in my Unstable ISO-8 vault for my 5/1/5 Kingpin. Just one more! Kingpin was such a pain for me. I started out 0/0/5 and had to trash 3 yellows before the saved cover feature went live. First 3 covers after it went live......3 freaking yellows. I was talking to Hadronic on Discord about it and he calculated the odds of that happening in the trillions.He’s covered now but unclamped with 7 saved covers. Um...not even close to in the trillions. Even if you're talking specifically about Kingpin getting three of one exact cover. The odds of getting 11 consecutive covers for a character of one specific color are 3^11:1, which is 177,147:1.Now, if you're talking about getting 11 consecutive non-Bonus Hero yellow Kingpin covers, without getting any other covers during that streak, assuming you only open Legendary tokens? Then your odds are one in [(# of 4-stars available in tokens) * 3 (you're only getting only one color cover for that character) / (odds of getting a four star from an LT) ]^11, which is easily above the trillions. If I did the math correct (71 four stars currently in tokens, 6/7 odds of getting a four star from an LT) the odds are one-in-223,146,625,544,774,763,513,334,151.53955. That's one in 223 billion trillion.My Nick Fury started out 0/9/0, and went to 2/13/2 before I finally started getting enough non-blue covers to max level him. This was before champing was a thing, let alone saved covers. I’m no statistician and just posting what I was told. Either way the odds were long but thanks for clearing it up.
sambrookjm said: BigSoftieFF said: TPF Alexis said: Pulled the purple cover I've been fishing for in my Unstable ISO-8 vault for my 5/1/5 Kingpin. Just one more! Kingpin was such a pain for me. I started out 0/0/5 and had to trash 3 yellows before the saved cover feature went live. First 3 covers after it went live......3 freaking yellows. I was talking to Hadronic on Discord about it and he calculated the odds of that happening in the trillions.He’s covered now but unclamped with 7 saved covers. Um...not even close to in the trillions. Even if you're talking specifically about Kingpin getting three of one exact cover. The odds of getting 11 consecutive covers for a character of one specific color are 3^11:1, which is 177,147:1.Now, if you're talking about getting 11 consecutive non-Bonus Hero yellow Kingpin covers, without getting any other covers during that streak, assuming you only open Legendary tokens? Then your odds are one in [(# of 4-stars available in tokens) * 3 (you're only getting only one color cover for that character) / (odds of getting a four star from an LT) ]^11, which is easily above the trillions. If I did the math correct (71 four stars currently in tokens, 6/7 odds of getting a four star from an LT) the odds are one-in-223,146,625,544,774,763,513,334,151.53955. That's one in 223 billion trillion.My Nick Fury started out 0/9/0, and went to 2/13/2 before I finally started getting enough non-blue covers to max level him. This was before champing was a thing, let alone saved covers.
BigSoftieFF said: TPF Alexis said: Pulled the purple cover I've been fishing for in my Unstable ISO-8 vault for my 5/1/5 Kingpin. Just one more! Kingpin was such a pain for me. I started out 0/0/5 and had to trash 3 yellows before the saved cover feature went live. First 3 covers after it went live......3 freaking yellows. I was talking to Hadronic on Discord about it and he calculated the odds of that happening in the trillions.He’s covered now but unclamped with 7 saved covers.
TPF Alexis said: Pulled the purple cover I've been fishing for in my Unstable ISO-8 vault for my 5/1/5 Kingpin. Just one more!
ThaRoadWarrior said: Highly recommend Shuri (5/3/5)/IM40/Peggy(3/5/5) when the simulator starts up. it's not the most killer defense team, but it's a lot of fun on offense
ThaRoadWarrior said: When you're done with that, run Shuri/Main Event/P4nther if you have it lol
@maguirenumber6
sambrookjm said: My son, not to be outdone by his old man, came in at #1 in his 1000 player pool a bit later on.
ZootSax said: sambrookjm said: My son, not to be outdone by his old man, came in at #1 in his 1000 player pool a bit later on. May he cherish his No Prize for the rest of his MPQ-playing days!