19 Covert Ops pulls and Zero 5*
Comments
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I don't think I spent CP on a release store since the fall until this one. I had bad luck with about 15 tokens and no 5*s. Going for Jessica and Ghost Rider when they entered Latest tokens took a while too, but at least in those I was getting other 5*s occasionally (though closer to 10% overall instead of 15%).
While I have had some bad odds this year for assorted LTs, I have had great odds at other times and I realize it all should balance out over time.0 -
Quebbster said:marshall said:I've seen it mentioned a couple of times here and on LINE that RNG is not truly random for MPQ and that they compensate for very streaky runs over time. Otherwise you'd have people that would be incredibly unlucky with averages of 5-7% and others that would be too lucky.
That's a big reason to avoid the special stores actually - as I understand it the pulls list is specific for each store, so if you pull from regular Heroics or Latest or Classic Legends a dry run just means you are getting closer to Another hot streak since the stores aren't going away. If you end up with a dry run in a special store you are SOL once the store goes away though...
Now, there are places in the game where one pull does depend on previous pulls, but they do that in a transparent fashion: vaults.
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ThaRoadWarrior said:ARE the "streaks" reset with each of these stores, or is the New Release store keeping a running tally regardless of who the character is? I was like 0:10 in Alias for landing any 5*, and then I got a 5* hawkeye on my first draw in Covert Ops. I ended up making 2-3 more pulls, all 4*s, so my sample size isn't that huge, but it felt like what tends to happen in Latest and Classic to me, when you go on a cold streak and then end up with a splash of hot water if you do it long enough.
Whatever your pulls in one store doesn't have any impact on another as each store generates their own pulls.
Im not sure but your pulls will also reset when a new char enters Latests as its considered a new store (someone correct me if that's wrong).
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MysterBytchs said:That moment when you want to spend your CP on a 5* being released for the first time and the odds are 1:7. You get absolutely no 5* cover to proc. Has anyone else spent 475 CP or more and had the same issue on this event???
RNG is RNG.0 -
I had already maxxed out my AA, so I decided to pour all my CP (about two weeks worth, I think, it was initially 40 pulls,) into Event pulls for Jessica Jones. My BP was champed, and my Green Goblin had six covers (2/3/1,) so this was perfect - I figured I'd come out of it with on average two of each - another 1-3 levels wouldn't hurt for BP and I could really use those GG covers.
My second pull was BP. That's fine, two more pulls, then a JJ. Awesome! Building up some steam there. I then proceeded to pull 36 more pulls with CP with no 5*s. None. I got 8 more Event pulls (including the two tokens from the event and one more from the vault,) and did not get a single additional 5*.
Unfortunately, this **** happens. It's massively discouraging, but it does even out in the end. I really do wish I had pulled at least one GG, though...
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Binomial Distribution app for you all to play with
https://homepage.divms.uiowa.edu/~mbognar/applets/bin.html
n is the number of pulls
p is the probability of interest (.05 if just looking for specific 5*, .15 if looking for any 5*)
It will generate the PDF for you1 -
12 pulls, 0 5* covers..... I feel your pain, was going for that last HE cover i need to complete him....0
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dadows said:Moon Roach said:In Top Gun I just came across a level 458 5/3/5 Cap boosted to 548, so someone was quite lucky.
I kept him in my queue, now his Cap is 459.14 champed 5* (all at least 457), the other 3 5* at 1/1/1 including Gambit
14 champed 4* (MEH Hulk 367, Valkyrie 358, Shuri 355, Mockingbird at 327 then a big gap back to Quake and 2 others at 289), the other 2 at 1/1/1
5 champed 3* (none above 169), 5 not champed
1 champed 2* Magneto 98), 7 others
4 maxed 1*, including Venom
Hmm...
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ZeiramMR said:I don't think I spent CP on a release store since the fall until this one. I had bad luck with about 15 tokens and no 5*s. Going for Jessica and Ghost Rider when they entered Latest tokens took a while too, but at least in those I was getting other 5*s occasionally (though closer to 10% overall instead of 15%).
While I have had some bad odds this year for assorted LTs, I have had great odds at other times and I realize it all should balance out over time.0
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