Wanted - pack opening data!

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  • Volrak
    Volrak Posts: 732 Critical Contributor
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    Spiritdark said:
    First 3 pack purchased with crystals "High chance for rare".  No rares at all.  2 uncommons and the rest were common.  I'm deleting this app now.  Later folks
    Be advised.. "high" in this case means 46%.  You wouldn't be the first customer lost over falsely raised expectations.
  • Volrak
    Volrak Posts: 732 Critical Contributor
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    Outersider said:
    To recap Mythic rate is 1 out of 250 cards/ 21 Rares / 103 Uncommons and 136 Commons.... seems to be a lot worse than the previous set
    It probably is worse than your pulls from last set.  Bad luck. :(

    But the odds of mythics and rares dropping could still be the same as before.

    You can imagine rolling a pair of normal dice, where snake's eyes (a 1 on both dice) hits the jackpot.  The true "drop rate" of snake's eyes is 1 in 36.  So you can expect on average one snake's eyes per 36 rolls.  For any given set of 36 rolls though, you may get no snake's eyes, and in other sets you may get more than one.  But do it enough, and in the long run, your average will converge on the true drop rate.  And that's what data collection is all about; doing it enough to get a clear picture of the true drop rates.
  • Ohboy
    Ohboy Posts: 1,766 Chairperson of the Boards
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    Everyone knows high means guaranteed and guaranteed means no dupes. 
  • DumasAG
    DumasAG Posts: 719 Critical Contributor
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    High chance means you have to be high to think you have a chance. Everybody knows this.

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