naabaldan said: So drawing one specific card has (number of commons + number of uncommons) or (60+65) or 125 different possibilities for a common booster pack. Numbers differ throughout different sets, but the calculation is the same, not counting odyssey and torment boosters because of there completely different chances.The second draw has the same chance to draw a specific card, and chances are multiplied. To calculate the chance of one special card drawing twice in a row - here are the numbers: 125*125 or 15625 different combinations are possible but only 125 are 2 in row, so chance is 1/15500 or 0.00645%.
Bubbles_CS said: If we assume sorting is a thing, that means we would observe an adjacent dup no matter where in the pack the two dup Cards appear while the pack is being created. Does that get us closer to 10%?
Volrak said: Bubbles_CS said: If we assume sorting is a thing, that means we would observe an adjacent dup no matter where in the pack the two dup Cards appear while the pack is being created. Does that get us closer to 10%? Yes (that's the 8% in my bottom paragraph)