Next Shield Training's required 4* -- Capworth or Torch?

Do we have any information yet on this? Or are there historical data that indicate which (or both? god forbid...) is likely to be required?
Mine are both poorly covered, and realistically I will only be able to get one of them -- if that -- to 10 covers using bonus hero designation. What are others of you doing about this?
Mine are both poorly covered, and realistically I will only be able to get one of them -- if that -- to 10 covers using bonus hero designation. What are others of you doing about this?
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From the App store notes, we know SM2099 to release on 10/10. The PVE prior is DP v MPQ which rewards Torch, so unless they break their 14 month long pattern, he will be one of the essentials.
I cannot predict the other two since there's no pattern that I can discern there any more.
EDIT: I don't think one of the other two will be Brokencap. I feel certain of that.
I’m still BHing Worthy anyways...
Juggernaut might get skipped though.
I doubt it will be WorthyCap because he has not been rewarded as Placement or Progression in a PVE (outside of his release).
I've got a 1 3 5 Jim Torch and a 2 4 2 WorhtyCap, and set both as Bonus Hero until we know which is needed, so I should hopefully be ready either way...
The other two? No idea, because that's one of the few areas the devs don't actually stick to a predictable pattern.
Based on past history, the following shield trainings used all older characters:
#1, #8, #15, #17, #22, #26, #30, ?
#34? (guess)
On average, out of every 4 or 5 shield trainings, one requires all older characters.
It is using a PRNG, yes. But the point of a good PRNG is to produce output that is indistinguishable from genuine random data (assuming you don't have access to the seed). If the PRNG was more likely to end a losing streak than genuine random data, then it would be a bad PRNG.
With that said, the law of large numbers says that the more pulls you make, the more likely you will see a win. That is independent of what has come before though.
Any time you can find 3 Classic Essentials, the PVE prior rewarded a Classic character in placement.
This is because their pattern (being followed for a very long time now, about since they ended Latest weighting) is to offer 3 Latests (the 3 most recent characters in tokens) in PVE, then offer 2 Classics, then repeat. (There was a period of about a month early this year when they ONLY offered Classics.)
They have, by the way, changed up the order they reward the Latest people in, and that doesn't always follow a set pattern.
Aside: The length of time a character is in tokens has no bearing on whether they are an ST essential.
I will be more than happy to see Torch NOT be an essential, but the spreadsheet is suggesting to me that they will just follow business as usual and not try to do something different/nice for Anniversary.