RNG once you've got covers

Team_Jacob
Team_Jacob Posts: 90 Match Maker
edited January 2017 in Roster and Level Help
I'm trying to estimate how many pulls I'll need to cover Thanos. I've now got him at 2/2/2 and am sitting on 1250 cp, it seems like I should need approximately 163 pulls (300*7/13), but maybe I'm oversimplifying the math?

Any thoughts?

Comments

  • Quebbster
    Quebbster Posts: 8,070 Chairperson of the Boards
    Statistically every twentieth Latest Legends token should be a Thanos. You need seven covers, so that should mean 140 pulls, or 3500 CP.
    Some extra pulls to be on The safe side wouldn't hurt though.
  • Hendross
    Hendross Posts: 762 Critical Contributor
    Quebbster wrote:
    Statistically every twentieth Latest Legends token should be a Thanos. You need seven covers, so that should mean 140 pulls, or 3500 CP.
    Some extra pulls to be on The safe side wouldn't hurt though.

    Excellent math;

    Ran it through my simulator (10,000 times) starting Thanos @ 2/2/2

    With CS Assistance
    It'll take between 24 and 409 latest tokens to finish Thanos with an average of 139

    W/o CS Assistance
    It'll take between 26 and 608 latest tokens to finish Thanos with an average of 163
  • Magic
    Magic Posts: 1,199 Chairperson of the Boards
    @Henderos (and sorry for stealing thread icon_e_smile.gif

    I have Strange at 4-4-3. Can you do the match on maxing him? My Thanos is at 1 cover and BW - 2-2-2. Ideally I would like to pull 3 blue covers to have him respeced by CS to have 5 in Yellow but RNG would not be that kind (no plans to champion him).
  • Hendross
    Hendross Posts: 762 Critical Contributor
    Magic wrote:
    @Henderos (and sorry for stealing thread icon_e_smile.gif

    I have Strange at 4-4-3. Can you do the match on maxing him? My Thanos is at 1 cover and BW - 2-2-2. Ideally I would like to pull 3 blue covers to have him respeced by CS to have 5 in Yellow but RNG would not be that kind (no plans to champion him).

    To Max Strange (min < avg < max)
    w/o CS assistance
    2 < 46 < 318

    w/ CS assistance
    2 < 39 < 266

    Sample 
    -Starting Position----------------------
Thanos          &#91;1/0/0&#93; &#91;1&#93;
Black Widow     &#91;2/2/2&#93; &#91;6&#93;
Dr. Strange     &#91;4/4/3&#93; &#91;11&#93;
Number of Legendary Tokens: 44
Number of 4 Star Covers: 40 (90.91%)
Number of 5 Star Covers: 4 (9.09%)
Number of 5 Star Covers Sold:  (%)
-----------------------
Thanos          &#91;1/2/0&#93; &#91;3&#93;
Black Widow     &#91;2/2/2&#93; &#91;6&#93;
Dr. Strange     &#91;4/6/3&#93; &#91;13&#93;
    Edit: I know it says 6, but that's with CS help; it's just a race to 13.
  • Magic
    Magic Posts: 1,199 Chairperson of the Boards
    Thanks. And 9% sounds about right with my luck icon_e_smile.gif

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