Old SHIELD Intercept Data
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GrimSkald
Posts: 2,698 Chairperson of the Boards
Since they changed the system, I figured I would give a final report of the numbers I got from SHIELD Intercepts - I honestly think I have enough here to get an idea of the real percentages. This will give a good baseline for what they changed in chance of drop and rewards.
This data was culled from every day from 11/21 until yesterday, 1/4. I excluded previous days since my collection was a bit spotty, and I now have enough past that date to be confident of the percentages (at least to an extent - some rewards like the 100HP and 1CP are so infrequent it's hard to say how often they really come up.)
In general, I played 27 to 66 clears in a day (varied by how much time I had, mostly,) and got, on average, 11.27 rewards per day. My lowest numbers were two 8s, my highest were one 15 and two 14s, most days were 11 or 12.
As far as how the rewards dropped, it was clearly based on how many rewards you got. It's really hard to say what the exact chances are, but one thing is clear - after 7 or 8 the chance drops, and after 9 or 10 the chance drops to very low. I honestly do not know if it is even possible to get 20, considering the very low chance for a drop after 10 and how many PVE clears you can possibly get.
Anyway, here are the actual rewards:
Reward ---- Count ---- %
250 Iso ---- 192 --- 37.87%
1000 Iso --- 113 --- 22.29%
2000 Iso --- 35 ---- 6.90%
10 HP
48 ---- 9.47%
25 HP
58 ---- 11.44%
100 HP
2
0.39%
1 CP
11 ---- 2.17%
Heroic Tkn - 48 ---- 9.47%
Total Rewards - 507
Hope you all find this useful, at least from a historical perspective. We'll see how the new numbers shape up - I'll post my findings on that in a week or so...
This data was culled from every day from 11/21 until yesterday, 1/4. I excluded previous days since my collection was a bit spotty, and I now have enough past that date to be confident of the percentages (at least to an extent - some rewards like the 100HP and 1CP are so infrequent it's hard to say how often they really come up.)
In general, I played 27 to 66 clears in a day (varied by how much time I had, mostly,) and got, on average, 11.27 rewards per day. My lowest numbers were two 8s, my highest were one 15 and two 14s, most days were 11 or 12.
As far as how the rewards dropped, it was clearly based on how many rewards you got. It's really hard to say what the exact chances are, but one thing is clear - after 7 or 8 the chance drops, and after 9 or 10 the chance drops to very low. I honestly do not know if it is even possible to get 20, considering the very low chance for a drop after 10 and how many PVE clears you can possibly get.
Anyway, here are the actual rewards:
Reward ---- Count ---- %
250 Iso ---- 192 --- 37.87%
1000 Iso --- 113 --- 22.29%
2000 Iso --- 35 ---- 6.90%
10 HP
48 ---- 9.47%
25 HP
58 ---- 11.44%
100 HP
2
0.39%
1 CP
11 ---- 2.17%
Heroic Tkn - 48 ---- 9.47%
Total Rewards - 507
Hope you all find this useful, at least from a historical perspective. We'll see how the new numbers shape up - I'll post my findings on that in a week or so...
0
Comments
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As a Steam player and VIP over that whole period that you've listed, this info kinda makes me ill... and very ticked off...
(Not at you, of course, but at Demi...)0 -
GrimSkald wrote:Reward ---- Count ---- %
250 Iso ---- 192 --- 37.87%
1000 Iso --- 113 --- 22.29%
2000 Iso --- 35 ---- 6.90%
10 HP
48 ---- 9.47%
25 HP
58 ---- 11.44%
100 HP
2
0.39%
1 CP
11 ---- 2.17%
Heroic Tkn - 48 ---- 9.47%
Total Rewards - 507
Total Value (44 Days)
231,000
2130
110 -
Hendross wrote:GrimSkald wrote:Reward ---- Count ---- %
250 Iso ---- 192 --- 37.87%
1000 Iso --- 113 --- 22.29%
2000 Iso --- 35 ---- 6.90%
10 HP
48 ---- 9.47%
25 HP
58 ---- 11.44%
100 HP
2
0.39%
1 CP
11 ---- 2.17%
Heroic Tkn - 48 ---- 9.47%
Total Rewards - 507
Total Value (44 Days)
231,000
2130
11
So average per day would be:
5,250 ISO
48.4 HP
.25 CP (or 1 every 4 days)0 -
TarjanVK wrote:As a Steam player and VIP over that whole period that you've listed, this info kinda makes me ill... and very ticked off...
(Not at you, of course, but at Demi...)
Yeah, sorry, but at least you know. That information is probably about average for any more-than-casual player.0 -
Similar %'s
(over 37 days.)
Reward ---- %
250 Iso --- 37%
1000 Iso--- 21%
2000 Iso ---- 5%
10 HP ---- 11%
25 HP ---- 10%
100 HP
2%
1 CP ---- 3%
Heroic Tkn ---- 11%
avg and totals since start (less a few days & including the double iso period)
Reward --- Avg ---- total
Draws --- 10 --- 568
ISO --- 4825 --- 275000
HP --- 52 --- 2930
CP --- .4 --- 20
Token --- 1.1 --- 590 -
I didn't even know 100 HP was an option. I don't think I've ever seen that one. It must be really rare.0
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Orion wrote:I didn't even know 100 HP was an option. I don't think I've ever seen that one. It must be really rare.
Well, I got 2 out of over 500 rewards, so the % is probably somewhere around .5 - though with a chance that low it's hard to tell (it could be even lower, it could be slightly higher.) So we're probably talking about 1 in 250 at best...0 -
Orion wrote:I didn't even know 100 HP was an option. I don't think I've ever seen that one. It must be really rare.
It is. But no joke, one day I had two drop back to back. Of course, I can't remember the last time I got that as a reward. RNG is a fickle mistress.
What I found interesting about the numbers is that OP got 25 HP more often than 10 HP.0 -
DarthDeVo wrote:Orion wrote:I didn't even know 100 HP was an option. I don't think I've ever seen that one. It must be really rare.
It is. But no joke, one day I had two drop back to back. Of course, I can't remember the last time I got that as a reward. RNG is a fickle mistress.
What I found interesting about the numbers is that OP got 25 HP more often than 10 HP.
Yeah, I found that interesting too. For the longest time the two numbers were relatively even, then the 100 HP pulled out ahead. The odds aren't that much different, just %2 apart, so they could well be the same and I got lucky.
We'll see how the new system shapes up. So far the numbers are all over the place, which is similar to the old, actually. I suspect they changed 250 Iso to 500 and added Elite tokens, otherwise kept the odds similar to the old. I also suspect they've made the "after ten rewards" odds better, but it's really hard to tell as both yesterday and today I didn't do that many clears of PVE.
Time will tell.0
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