Lucky Standard Pulls?

IronyMan
IronyMan Posts: 55
edited March 2014 in MPQ General Discussion
As I've been here since day 1, I've learned to never really get my hopes up for the standard tokens I get. But in the past 2 days I've pulled a Green Ragnarok, a Blue Dr Doom, and a Black Punisher. Is anyone else noticing slightly better odds or is it just a little lucky streak that I've probably jinxed now?
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Comments

  • I find they tend to come in bunches too. A few 3 star miracle pulls then nothing but yelenas and jugs for weeks.
  • I got a black Hulk and 2 Daredevil covers in the last 2 weeks, but I think that has more to do with a huge surplus of Standard Tokens from event grinding than it does with better luck. I waited until I had 20 tokens to pull, got 19 single-star covers and the DD, which is roughly in keeping with the figures the tracking spreadsheet put out. Today I swapped 9 tokens, got 8 single-star covers and one Ares, so I think the odds have remained the same.
  • Lady luck has some sense of humor.

    My Hulk is stuck since the last Hulk event and would desperatly need covers. Now I see a green Hulk coming in 3 days as daily supply. Also the Hulk even re-run will offer one about at the same time. Same green.

    And I open the heroic from today's daily supply: green Hulk. obviously mine is at 4, so can use only one of those 3.

    But I can rumble for 3 more days with the bigger hulk in the event icon_e_wink.gif
  • Also the Hulk even re-run will offer one about at the same time.
    If this is the same one that popped up briefly at the beginning of the event, it's a random colour now (I got a black cover).

    Genuine randomness includes occasional clusters of events, not everything spread out evenly, so there's not necessarily anything strange about the situation in the first place.
  • SpaceBearPig
    SpaceBearPig Posts: 83 Match Maker
    One Invisible woman, one X-Force Woverine. A few 3* as well.
  • I must have opened more than 350-400 standard tokens. It is probably more but let's say this is a conservative estimate. All I have to show is 4 3* characters. That is way less than the average drop rate. The funny (or not so funny) thing is that 2 of them were purple Daredevil (I couldn't care less) and they dropped after the ISO event. After the ISO event I also got 5x25HP tokens. I know these don't replace 3* covers, but I can't help thinking they jinx me. I would trade 125 HP with a random 3* any day. Even the 1000 I would get from selling the cover is better than that HP. So yeah, if we hold a contest for the most unlucky draws overall, I think I would be #1.
    The other silly coincidence is that after I sold 2* Wolverine, I only draw green covers. He is 5/0/0 now and although I don't care a lot since he is a puppy now instead of a Wolverine, it is disturbing seeing him maxed in one color and naked in others.
  • I've pulled IW from heroics two days in a row (yesterday and the day before), but it's been a few weeks since I pulled a 3* from a standard.
  • Pwuz_
    Pwuz_ Posts: 1,214 Chairperson of the Boards
    I'm positive that the odds have been being tweaked with each update. I was getting better luck last month, but since the last update haven't pulled anything besides 1* or HP.
  • It's just how probability shakes out. Random doesn't mean evenly distributed.
  • I have had amazing luck the last week. I got 2 OBW, 1 PUNISHER, 2 PATCH, THOR(was able to respec him) IRON MAN 40 AND A LOKI, all from standards icon_e_wink.gif
  • Dayraven wrote:
    Also the Hulk even re-run will offer one about at the same time.
    If this is the same one that popped up briefly at the beginning of the event, it's a random colour now (I got a black cover).

    Genuine randomness includes occasional clusters of events, not everything spread out evenly, so there's not necessarily anything strange about the situation in the first place.

    I got green both times, thought it is fixed green. We'll see then maybe third pass is the charm. icon_e_smile.gif
  • It was stated in another thread that the Recruit Hulk node this time around has 4 reward options: 2x Green Hulk, 1x Red Hulk, and 1x Black Hulk. (The node was released early by accident; some of the forum regulars jumped on it.) So the color you get is random, but Green is more likely than Red or Black.
  • Ben Grimm wrote:
    I've pulled IW from heroics two days in a row (yesterday and the day before), but it's been a few weeks since I pulled a 3* from a standard.

    I said that, and then pulled a blue Hood, doubling my Hood covers, from a standard today.
  • I pulled an xforce yellow wolvie out of standard.
  • Destro wrote:
    I pulled an xforce yellow wolvie out of standard.
    go home or I keeeeeeel you.

    Seriously, in the entirety of my pulls I have never gotten a 4**** from a standard. Ehats the drop
    % on that ... .001% or something?
  • I did a double take but , not complaining .
  • My wife just started playing (hasn't touched the Venom prologue chapter yet) and has pulled a daredevil and an invisible woman, as well as an ares. Crazy luck.
  • Forum stalker for awhile. Created an account to whine about my **** pulls icon_e_sad.gif

    36 pulls in a row.
    1 x 25 hp
    1 x green wolverine
    The rest all Lv1 stuff

    icon_e_sad.gificon_e_sad.gificon_e_sad.gif
  • For me, whenever i open one right after i get it, i always get 1* covers.
    But whenever i open a bunch at the same time, i always get a couple 2* and 3*.
    What i do is wait until i get 25 tokens and then open them, last time i did this i got a bunch of 1's ,25hp , a blue daredevil, a yellow ares ,a green patches and a red hulk.
  • I just got a black Loki cover from a standard token. Overall, I think my pull rate has been around average; I see mostly 1* covers that I don't need anymore, and rarely better covers, some of which I need (please no more Cap, thank you).