Opened a bunch of LTs

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Tryke
Tryke Posts: 320 Mover and Shaker
edited March 2016 in MPQ General Discussion
Just opened a bunch of LTs.

4x star.pngstar.pngstar.pngstar.pngstar.png out of 44 tokens opened. Puts me right around the 10% mark.

Strange note though, all 4 of the 5*s were within the first 10 tokens.

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  • wirius
    wirius Posts: 667
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    Random odds are random. People just don't intuitively understand random. Its why casinos can exist. Glad you got the odds in such a small sample!
  • Orion
    Orion Posts: 1,295 Chairperson of the Boards
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    I opened 24 of them 2 days ago. I got Phoenix with the 2nd pull and then finally on the last pull I got an OML. So only 2 out of 24, but OML should really count as 2. icon_e_wink.gif
  • Hendross
    Hendross Posts: 762 Critical Contributor
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    Congratulations, a non-selection bias Legendary Token Thread, you're completely average.
  • simonsez
    simonsez Posts: 4,663 Chairperson of the Boards
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    Hendross wrote:
    Congratulations, a non-selection bias Legendary Token Thread, you're completely average.
    You're saying Malenkov's thread is biased?

    And congrats on drawing a conclusion about a set of pulls that they OP didn't even post. For all you know his 44 pulls included 17 IWs
  • Tryke
    Tryke Posts: 320 Mover and Shaker
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    wirius wrote:
    Random odds are random. People just don't intuitively understand random. Its why casinos can exist. Glad you got the odds in such a small sample!

    Oh I understand random. Streakiness is also a part of randomness ofc. This is the first time I've opened this many LT at once and thought I'd share the results.

    45 tokens aint much of a sample, but I was still "on the odds" approximately.

    Edit: results overall were fairly mixed. Got a spread of different characters with some repeats.

    star.pngstar.pngstar.pngstar.pngstar.png
    icon_spiderman.pngblueflag.pngpurpleflag.png
    icon_jeangrey.pngredflag.png
    icon_silversurfer.pngblackflag.png
  • Hendross
    Hendross Posts: 762 Critical Contributor
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    simonsez wrote:
    Hendross wrote:
    Congratulations, a non-selection bias Legendary Token Thread, you're completely average.
    You're saying Malenkov's thread is biased?

    And congrats on drawing a conclusion about a set of pulls that they OP didn't even post. For all you know his 44 pulls included 17 IWs

    or 40 bag ladies, it doesn't matter in regards to a thread about 5 stars, regardless he's right smack in the center of the curve. I think you already have your own conclusion about outliers, with statistically low draw rates, at the tail end of the curve, and their tendency to (rightfully) gripe about a flawed system.

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