Does Place/Time Increase Token Odds?
Punisher5784
Posts: 3,845 Chairperson of the Boards
Back in early March I had posted a topic called "Event Token Luck" where I pulled 4 golds in a row out of 7: http://www.d3pforums.com/viewtopic.php?f=7&t=24778
Well since then I have opened a majority of my tokens at the same place and time. After work at 5pm, when I open my tokens I see gold every time. If I open my tokens anywhere else it's normally 2*s.
I opened 3 golds from the 4 Ultron apology tokens, including a HB! Yesterday I opened 3 golds from 5 Enemy of the State tokens, and last week I opened 4 250 HP in a row from DDQ tokens. Could it be just a coincidence? Or does the 3* pull % increase depending on time and location? I rarely pull at gold from home.
*Please Note: Edited from original post*
Well since then I have opened a majority of my tokens at the same place and time. After work at 5pm, when I open my tokens I see gold every time. If I open my tokens anywhere else it's normally 2*s.
I opened 3 golds from the 4 Ultron apology tokens, including a HB! Yesterday I opened 3 golds from 5 Enemy of the State tokens, and last week I opened 4 250 HP in a row from DDQ tokens. Could it be just a coincidence? Or does the 3* pull % increase depending on time and location? I rarely pull at gold from home.
*Please Note: Edited from original post*
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Comments
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Punisher5784 wrote:Interestingly it only works when I am driving and making the turn onto that block, it does not work if I pull to the side of the road. Dangerous, yes, but worth the risk (it's a slow neighborhood).
For the love of anything holy, don't do this while driving. There is nothing "worth the risk" of accidentally killing someone.0 -
I read a lot of crazy things on the forums here, but I think this one takes that cake. I love it.
My guess is the app uses a combination of GPS data and speed to reward you for token redemption in situations where your life may be in danger. Next 10 pack, I am going to skydive and open it, I expect to get all gold tokens.0 -
Punisher5784 wrote:I opened 3 golds from the 4 Ultron apology tokens, including a HB!0
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*Deleted Reply*0
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I will open my 10-pack while climbing the Burj Khalifa in Dubai with no safety ropes. Better be all HulkBusters!0
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Don't know if they still do, but RNG's used to use time stamp data, so it's not necessarily impossible for patterns to develop based on time, or maybe even GPS coordinates. But highly highly unlikely to ever discover such a pattern and be able to repeat it consistently enough to take advantage of it.0
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Assuming the RNG in MPQ makes any sense it'd almost certainly take the time of the day (measured in either milliseconds or nanoseconds) as a variable to seed your token pull, so yes time of the day indeed can affect your token result. All you have to do is somehow figure out the exact mapping of the RNG roll to tokens, and then open your token accurate to at least milliseconds (might have to do nanoseconds if it's anything remotely modern) and you'll be sure to pull whatever cover you need.0
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At the risk of being popped again.... you sir are a special kind of specialness!0
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*Deleted Reply*0
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so what does this sentence from your post mean?Punisher5784 wrote:BDangerous, yes, but worth the risk (it's a slow neighborhood).
i also wonder how many times you play MPQ while driving that you were able to actually notice this pattern.
and finally, people who text and drive are idiots - full stop. so you aren't doing yourself any favors by comparing what you are doing with them.0 -
MyFeetStink wrote:I read a lot of crazy things on the forums here, but I think this one takes that cake. I love it.
My guess is the app uses a combination of GPS data and speed to reward you for token redemption in situations where your life may be in danger. Next 10 pack, I am going to skydive and open it, I expect to get all gold tokens.
If you got a video of opening packs while skydiving, I'm sure you would get something from the MPQ Video contest at the very minimum! lol0 -
I had a run where I would click crotches. If no crotch was visible on the token, I would click the left nipple. Got gold about 70% of the time.
Pure confirmation bias though. It's actually 6:22am EST for the most golds.
No, not really.0 -
I don't mind if people are doing ancient rituals or sacrificing goats to increase their chance of pulling better tokens but you really shouldn't be doing anything that can possibly endanger other people.0
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I am literally CTFU.
I have a ritual that I do get the most golds from, but.......yeah, done that in the car REPEATEDLY is not the best thing to do.
:+/0 -
Interestingly enough, I get most of my golds while sitting in the can. Will prob test this theory later.0
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Confirmation bias. You had a big streak in that location now, so you'll always associate it with good pulls even if the draw rate is the same.0
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all I know is this morning I said 'c'mon you **** gimme gold' while opening a Taco and it gave me 1000 Hero Points.
I mean, I'm legally required to repeat that ritual from now on, right?0 -
DFiPL wrote:all I know is this morning I said 'c'mon you tinykitty gimme gold' while opening a Taco and it gave me 1000 Hero Points.
I mean, I'm legally required to repeat that ritual from now on, right?0 -
Oh wow. Weirdest post I read all day.
I'm sure you'd get a lot more gold at home if you actually opened tokens at home...0 -
Stop using your phone while operating your vehicle. If you don't value your own life and property, think of those you stand to harm.0
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