So are tokens bugged or did I hit the lottery?

dkffiv

With the new season rotation finally out I opened 10 heroic token and 2x heroic 10 packs, resulting in 1x 3* from the individual tokens (9x 2* from the other nine) and 20x 2* from the 10 packs. The odds on the 2x 10 packs is less than 1%, factoring in the individual draws its seems really really low. Everyone else getting screwed?

grunth13

We are all getting screwed, but that is how the odds work, some get better, others get worse.

MojoWild

This is news?

Unknown

Yeah, I just opened up a 10 pack and 8 individual ones, all silvers. Odds of that happening is less than 3%. You got it worse than me. Too small a sample to know if there's a problem though. Now if everyone is reporting the same, then we have a problem.

MarvelMan

Sounds about right. Yeah, the odds say it should be otherwise but there are tons of people who are getting all 2*s from their 10-packs.

vudu3

You did better than this guy.

Arondite wrote:

rixmith

I've had 10 packs with 0 Golds and 10 packs with 4 Golds. Well, maybe one time with 4 Golds and a whole lot of times with 0. But it is all just luck...

Unknown

My first 10-pack had Gamora Green SG Yellow and Starlord red


2nd had storm yellow (to go with the other 4 storm already in my queue for iso conversion)

I've had runs of over 25 heroic tokens without a 3* several times.

dkffiv

Wasn't the draw rate on individual tokens around 23% a few months ago? I could've sworn that the number was really close to 1 in 4. I just added up the supposed numbers and its 16.4%. My overall draw rate has dropped from 22% last summer to 17.8% now. My SRT rate has dropped from 2% to 1.8%.

CrookedKnight

It's been below 20 percent for ages. At least since I first checked them last July.

Lidolas

I didn't even get a 10-pack to open. I got screwed!

Unknown

rixmith wrote:

I've had 10 packs with 0 Golds and 10 packs with 4 Golds. Well, maybe one time with 4 Golds and a whole lot of times with 0. But it is all just luck...

Well, given the 21% current draw rate for 10 packs, drawing 0 is 9.5% and drawing 4 is 9.9%. So the two should occur roughly same number of times, with drawing 4 occurring at a slightly higher rate. It's just all math.

GrumpySmurf1002

dkffiv wrote:

Wasn't the draw rate on individual tokens around 23% a few months ago? I could've sworn that the number was really close to 1 in 4. I just added up the supposed numbers and its 16.4%. My overall draw rate has dropped from 22% last summer to 17.8% now. My SRT rate has dropped from 2% to 1.8%.

16.4 is what its been for a long while.

Unknown

I used to get about 1 gold from tokens every day or 2, the past couple months however I've been lucky to get 1 every 2 weeks. Most of my initial transition process was accomplished with tokens but at this point they're simply a lesson in tampering expectations. Oh well, at least I got far enough to earn decent placement rewards before it was too late

Unknown

You get weird streaks. I went 2-3 weeks without pulling any golds, then yesterday pulled a yellow 4or and yellow starlord 20 minutes apart from event tokens.

mjh

just opened mine, got some golds but sold them all since I only need and 4*s which I didn't get