No bonus 4*s given after opening 70 LL tokens. Just very bad luck?

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steakleather
steakleather Posts: 121 Tile Toppler
in MPQ Bugs and Technical Issues
Opened a small hoard just now. I had two heroes marked as bonus heroes, Ronin and Mysterio. I actually got one bonus 5*, but zero bonus 4*s, which seems very odd to me.

Anyone else have this problem, or did I just have exceedingly bad luck?
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  • KGB
    KGB Posts: 2,939 Chairperson of the Boards
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    You actually got 1/70 (your 5*). 

    Based on the number of tokens you opened you would expect to get 3.5.

    Your below the rate but not by that much. Just some bad luck.

    KGB
  • TPF Alexis
    TPF Alexis Posts: 3,826 Chairperson of the Boards
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    With randomness, especially on things with low odds, there really do tend to be a lot more runs one way or another than we expect. The human brain doesn't really deal very well with randomness.
  • Sabaton74
    Sabaton74 Posts: 38 Just Dropped In
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    TPF Alexis : The human brain doesn't really deal very well with randomness.
    That's why the conspiracy theory is so powerful. 

    Wonder if gold heart on an older cover would turn up better odds. That 5* pull probably threw the odds for 4* out the window, I see how the game manipulates cover pulls... sell your champs and start pulling fresh odds again...

    Theory: the behavioral modification study is real  

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