justsing said: I ran a quick simulation for 300 pulls. Here are the results based on 100,000 runs:Chance of pulling 14th cover – Mean (SD)Nico - 98% (14)War Machine - 98% (14)Bucky - 88% (33)Shuri - 17% (37)Valkyrie - 6% (23)Spiderman (IW) - 2% (15)Jubilee - 3% (17)Panther - 0% (3)Widow - 0% (4)Kraven - 0% (4)In terms of unusable 4* covers, if you don't champ Nico, WM, and Bucky, you'll waste an average of 13 covers (sd = 4). Otherwise, if you do champ them, you'll waste an average of 2 covers (sd = 2).On average, you'll get 216 champ levels for your other 4*s (sd = 8).Number of covers pulled per character - Mean (SD)4* character - 4 (2)5* character - 15 (4)
VizMantis said: Well that’s some fancy math’n. So if I remember correctly, 5*s are around 500k to champ from scratch apiece. Nico, War Machine, and Bucky would run me around 800k total to champ. With my 1.8 mil, rank rwds, champ levels rwds, and maybe some 2* farm liquidation, I should be able to afford all that. Wasting a few covers after that seems totally fine.Now the question returns to, is now a good time to pull? For reference, I’ve got GThor, Gambit, and DD. I hear JJ pairs well with GThor, but Cap seems a bit like dead weight. Would I be better off waiting for Okoye +2?
Daredevil217 said:You could always do what I did and focus solely on Jess. Bonus her, hope RNG is kind, and stop once she’s maxed and try to skip cap. Unless you want to add lots of champ levels in which case Cap is unavoidable and may be anyway depending on luck.
VizMantis said: Daredevil217 said:You could always do what I did and focus solely on Jess. Bonus her, hope RNG is kind, and stop once she’s maxed and try to skip cap. Unless you want to add lots of champ levels in which case Cap is unavoidable and may be anyway depending on luck. On my last hoard pull, I had champed gambit and gthor well before I got DD finished. So there’s a decent chance I’ll get stuck with cap whether I like it or not. Even if I do get lucky with JJ, I’ll probably get at least a few caps, which seems like a waste if I’ll never complete him. But something to consider. I don’t really care too much about champ levels since I’m just a 575’er in pvp.
SlappyDingle said: I have that crew all champed and it's no cake walk even getting to 800!
VizMantis said: So I should definitely pull my hoard before they stop cover swapping, right?
That or hoard harder so you are ready when there are Three fivestars you want in Latest. Probably need at least 400 pulls to have a decent chance to champ all Three, and the risk of waste is higher now.
But if you want Jess, Cap and Okoye by all means go nuts now.