obsidianpeanut wrote: Using the same formula for the Legendary Creatures. There were 15 cards in the set. If you already have 5 of those cards, then you have a 52.5% chance of drawing a dupe for your 1st purchase out of 3 purchases available.
obsidianpeanut wrote: You say, well if they would open the entire Mythic set up for Legendary Creatures, we would have better odds, right? Perhaps. It entirely depends on how many Mythics you already have. For instance, right now there are 8 exclusive Mythics which I will remove. That leave 126 possible Mythics. I currently have 33 Mythics, so there are 93 Mythics in the set that I don’t have. However, with 33 Mythics there is a 98.99% chance that any new Mythic I get will be a dupe.
obsidianpeanut wrote: 1-(1-1/15)*(1-2/15)*(1-3/15)*(1-4/15) = 52.5% chance to draw a dupe
obsidianpeanut wrote: 1-(1-1/15)*(1-2/15)*(1-3/15)*(1-4/15) = 52.5% chance to draw a dupe I think your probability is wrong. by your assumptions fishing for dupes 1-(1-1/15)*(1-2/15)*(1-3/15)*(1-4/15)...*(1-11/15) = 52.5+% how can can fishing for dupes and fishing for non dupes add up to greater than 100%. (it's either a dupe or it's not, regardless of what you already own) HH