Buret0 wrote: They need a rotating classic pack. New Legendary - 25 CP - 5% odds on each of the latest. Revolving Classic Legendary - 25 CP - 5% odds on getting one of three revolving 5*s. Classic Legendary - 20 CP - 15% odds on getting any of the 5*s If you pull a 4*, you should get a 3 CP bonus/refund.
Polares wrote: Buret0 wrote: They need a rotating classic pack.Hendross please (or anyone else), what are the chances now of getting a cover for any two colors (4/5/3 build) for a particular 5 in classic with 720 CPs ? (Is this information anywhere?) Is it this? (0.9886666700^36.00000000)/(1.00^36) = 0.66343 which comes from this (( 1.0 - (0.017 * 2 / 3)) ^ 36.00000000) / (1.00 ^ 36) the chance of not pulling it isn't it? So 66% chance of NOT pulling it or basically 1/3 chance of pulling it.And If you need one color in particular (5/2/5 build) ? Then: (( 1.0 - (0.017 / 3)) ^ 36.00000000) / (1.00 ^ 36) = 0.81498 or 18% chance of pulling the cover you want Is this math correct?
Buret0 wrote: They need a rotating classic pack.Hendross please (or anyone else), what are the chances now of getting a cover for any two colors (4/5/3 build) for a particular 5 in classic with 720 CPs ? (Is this information anywhere?) Is it this? (0.9886666700^36.00000000)/(1.00^36) = 0.66343 which comes from this (( 1.0 - (0.017 * 2 / 3)) ^ 36.00000000) / (1.00 ^ 36) the chance of not pulling it isn't it? So 66% chance of NOT pulling it or basically 1/3 chance of pulling it.And If you need one color in particular (5/2/5 build) ? Then: (( 1.0 - (0.017 / 3)) ^ 36.00000000) / (1.00 ^ 36) = 0.81498 or 18% chance of pulling the cover you want Is this math correct?
Hendross wrote: Polares wrote: Buret0 wrote: They need a rotating classic pack.Hendross please (or anyone else), what are the chances now of getting a cover for any two colors (4/5/3 build) for a particular 5 in classic with 720 CPs ? (Is this information anywhere?) Is it this? (0.9886666700^36.00000000)/(1.00^36) = 0.66343 which comes from this (( 1.0 - (0.017 * 2 / 3)) ^ 36.00000000) / (1.00 ^ 36) the chance of not pulling it isn't it? So 66% chance of NOT pulling it or basically 1/3 chance of pulling it.And If you need one color in particular (5/2/5 build) ? Then: (( 1.0 - (0.017 / 3)) ^ 36.00000000) / (1.00 ^ 36) = 0.81498 or 18% chance of pulling the cover you want Is this math correct? A single character & color pull rate is 1/3 of the listed rate (1.7% which is actually 1.666...) ~ 0.56% or 1-in-176 Sorry, if you want OML-Yellow... that's enough CP (3520 or 140 LLT) to max a featured character vault (10%).
Lots of added covers...mostly middling actual progress.
Polares wrote: Hendross wrote: Polares wrote: Buret0 wrote: They need a rotating classic pack.Hendross please (or anyone else), what are the chances now of getting a cover for any two colors (4/5/3 build) for a particular 5 in classic with 720 CPs ? (Is this information anywhere?) Is it this? (0.9886666700^36.00000000)/(1.00^36) = 0.66343 which comes from this (( 1.0 - (0.017 * 2 / 3)) ^ 36.00000000) / (1.00 ^ 36) the chance of not pulling it isn't it? So 66% chance of NOT pulling it or basically 1/3 chance of pulling it.And If you need one color in particular (5/2/5 build) ? Then: (( 1.0 - (0.017 / 3)) ^ 36.00000000) / (1.00 ^ 36) = 0.81498 or 18% chance of pulling the cover you want Is this math correct? A single character & color pull rate is 1/3 of the listed rate (1.7% which is actually 1.666...) ~ 0.56% or 1-in-176 Sorry, if you want OML-Yellow... that's enough CP (3520 or 140 LLT) to max a featured character vault (10%). Mmm that is not what I asked The questions is, imagine someone has a 4/5/3 GG, and has 720CP saved. He can just buy the last cover straight away or he can pull 36 tokens and hope he will pull one black or one yellow cover, but not a purple. What should he do? With my math, I basically tried to calculate the chance of not pulling two particular covers in 36 pulls, but I am not sure I did it correctly. If they are correct, my calculations show that if you need two different colors to max a 5 in classic when he is 12 covers, if you use the 720CPs to pull 36 tokens you have 33% chance of pulling one cover of the two colors you need. If you need a particular color (5/2/5 build) then the chances are just a 18%, which is not a very good ratio. As someone else said in another thread, it is starting to be much better to buy the cover (and lose all the other 35pulls), than trying your luck and opening the 36 tokens, specially if you need just one color to max the char.
RemoDestroyer wrote: Given the current odds and my current roster would pulling from latest or classic be my most likely path to championing my 1st 5*? I average about 1 or 1.5 lt a day. I recently gave up on classics after pulling 5 covers I had to sell. Do I stay with latest or go back to classics? I have 25 championed 4*s. At the moment of the 126 possible 4* covers in tokens there are only 25 I can't use to train or add a level so my chances of any 4* being useful are pretty good. Current 5*s: Phoenix 5/3/4 Silver Surfer 2/5/5 Wolverine 5/5/0 Green Goblin 4/2/3 Banner 2/3/4 Iron Man 5/2/1 Spider-Man 4/0/2 Black Widow 2/3/1 Black Bolt 2/1/2 Steve Rogers 1/2/2 Doctor Strange 2/2/1 Thanos 2/1/1 I know it's possible I could get the covers I need for Phoenix or Silver Surfer on my next pull but I also feel like it's extremely unlikely.